Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 302.742519 343.958602 390.270805 446.463632 513.199944 590.420938 687.254679
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 235.651882 286.995670 350.061379 434.340776 545.740306 690.444937 896.867080
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 208.503787 265.902792 340.767248 447.777337 600.580634 817.064376 1158.804029
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 185.959727 245.640278 327.175157 450.094858 636.989741 921.747955 1412.680489
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 165.652914 224.960773 309.029782 441.360504 653.305013 996.814590 1636.665328
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 152.041270 211.698007 299.145072 442.397095 683.355555 1097.860854 1931.622333
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 138.211697 196.390173 284.044571 432.476851 692.703715 1163.965582 2178.786134
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 128.212563 185.711341 274.633493 430.098603 713.918829 1254.931734 2504.202067
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 115.883054 170.231719 255.916680 409.332206 698.113697 1270.694969 2667.566358
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 112.538169 168.584101 259.355990 427.443296 758.028221 1452.270345 3291.324728
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 110.558809 168.883863 265.936367 451.918406 834.683927 1688.897853 4164.916002
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 104.831695 162.429687 260.191010 452.352255 861.578416 1818.484637 4797.104713
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 97.279044 152.472958 247.675848 438.749987 857.363435 1875.521476 5246.359410
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 90.690644 143.723371 236.627680 426.895756 855.485695 1939.510762 5760.865830
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 88.128428 141.785057 237.805083 440.042034 913.704322 2180.598390 7078.456919
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 84.388647 137.444909 234.058324 442.309417 946.236847 2359.910859 8288.600403
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 79.688344 131.026589 225.783384 433.763871 950.191937 2455.511611 9207.625588
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 76.481236 127.120221 222.042277 434.778103 979.126774 2639.364237 10720.906843
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 72.370271 121.262782 213.979278 425.071294 977.730503 2723.448765 11792.186757
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 69.346467 117.262106 209.328375 422.744032 996.430852 2884.330636 13487.955499
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 64.748777 110.005652 197.557710 402.419781 960.795910 2838.709105 13843.029404
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 64.136970 110.365145 201.463414 420.145567 1039.387020 3252.660026 17909.663517
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 64.048237 111.725407 207.561852 444.093423 1142.646125 3816.772807 24288.974034